Keno Tracker




Explanation

Hottest and Coldest Numbers - The 4 tables on the statistics pages that refer to the hottest and coldest numbers is just a tabulation of which numbers are being called most frequently or infrequently right now. They have no legitimate bearing on what numbers will be called next, so it is displayed merely for informational purposes only. Many Keno players like to track hot and cold numbers, so this makes their job easier before they head to the casino. The left column displays how many times the ball in right column has been called in the time frame specified in the table header.

Last Results - This section displays the actual results of the games that recently finished. The left column is the casino name, the middle column is the time that the game ended, and the right column is the numbers that were called. The numbers are displayed in order in which they came out from left to right, top to bottom.

Spot Tickets - This is one of the most interesting items on the site. The site simulates playing 4 different tickets at all of the casinos. Lets look at the first ticket, which is a 1 spot ticket. The site bets a 1 spot ticket on the 1 ball, so in any given game if the 1 ball appears then the site wins, and if it doesn't then the site loses. The far left column displays what the row represents. So 0/1 means 0 out of 1 balls hit, and 1/1 means 1 out of 1 balls hit (as in we hit the 1 ball). The second column shows what we would get paid if that row hit, all casinos pay nothing if you hit 0/1 balls and $3 for every $1 bet if you hit the 1 ball you chose on a 1 spot ticket. The third and fourth columns display the frequency of how many times that row is expected to hit and how many times it did hit. So if 100 games have been played, we would expect to hit 0/1 75 times, and we would expect to hit 1/1 25 times because there is a 25% chance of a given ball being drawn in a given game. The third column displays how many we would expect, and the fourth column displays how many actually hit. The fifth and sixth columns display how much money was expected to be returned and how much was actually returned. Column 5 is basically column 2 multiplied by column 3, and column 6 is basically column 2 multiplied by column 4. In the total row you will see the expected return % and what the actual return % was. This is very interesting, because the math behind keno can be hard to grasp, but this number essentially proves that what the math says is correct. We expect a 75% return on a 1 spot game (at any casino), and you'll find that the actual number rarely departs more than plus or minus 2% of that figure. Finally the final row for each ticket displays how much money the casino has won or lost, except that the site hasn't been winning any money at any casino since about the second week the site has been around.
Note: This section only appears on casinos that I have the payout tables for their Keno games and also the overall page. Casinos with payout tables are shown in bold on the casino list page.

Number Frequency - This section is also very interesting. It tells us how many times each ball has been called since the site has been tracking it. The layout of the table is a little confusing. Basically the top left of the table is the 1 ball, the ball to the right of that is the 2 ball, all the way to the end of the row which is the 10 ball. The next row begins with ball #11 through ball #20. So if the left column label says 30 and the top row label says 5 then the ball in that spot is 35. For display purposes the site will display the frequencies in 10's or 100's or 1000's or whatever is necessary so that the table will fit properly.

Chi-Square of the Distribution - The Chi-Square test is one of the best and most commonly used tests of skewness of random samples. If the number is between 10% and 90% then we assume that it is perfectly random. If the number is between 5% and 10% or 90% and 95% then we describe it as almost normal, and when it is less than 5% or more than 95% we question the randomness. If it is greater than 95% then it is peculiar, but perfectly alright, basically it means that the numbers are so perfectly random that it is a red flag, but we expect keno to be random. If it is less than 5% then it is so more skewed than we would expect a fair setup to be that we have to wonder if it is rigged. There are plenty of sites that do a much better job of describing Chi-Square then I am right now, but basically if the Chi-Square is 25% then there are two ways we could word this in English "A fair game would be more skewed than this 25% of the time" or "A fair game would exceed this value 75% of the time." Also note that I am giving an approximation of the Chi-Square that can be off by as much as 3% because of rounding, but the closer it is to the extremes (0% and 100%) the more accurate the approximation is, so the 5%/95% rule still stands.

 
 
 
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Contact: Eric Wikman